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If this Works, Facebook Stock Could be the “Buy of the Decade”
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Facebook Stock Risk: New Social Media Apps Luring Teens Away
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Facebook Inc. (Nasdaq: FB) is starting to get a taste of what it means to be the king of the social media hill.
Small and more nimble competitors with novel ideas have sprung up and begun to entice young users away from the No. 1 social media platform – a bad omen for Facebook stock, which 11 months after its IPO still trades 29% below its offer price.
According to Piper Jaffray’s annual “Taking Stock of Teens” survey, teens are spending less time with Facebook and more with a vast array of alternatives.
The survey showed that just 33% of teens consider Facebook “the most important social network” compared with 42% last year.
Last month, the creator of social photo album app Albumatic, Adam Ludwin, conducted a focus group of users under 25.
“They gave me the typical teenage response: ‘We’re bored with Facebook,’” Ludwin told Business Insider.
Anyone who doubts how quickly a social media company can become yesterday’s news need only look at MySpace, a once-dominant social media site that lost a third of its users in 2010 mostly as a result of Facebook’s growing popularity.
“History is not on Facebook’s side when the trend starts to move in the wrong direction,” Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster told MarketWatch.
Facebook Stock: Time for a Dividend in 2013?
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Down about 42% from the $45 high after its initial public offering, Facebook stock (Nasdaq: FB)needs a way to keep investor interest into 2013.
How about paying a dividend?
Facebook stock, at around $26, is up about 20% over the past few months, but still far from its $28 IPO price.
But with nearly $10.5 billion in cash, a Facebook dividend could drive the stock higher by making it more attractive to a wider range of investors.
Here’s why CEO Mark Zuckerberg should consider a Facebook stock dividend for the New Year.
Facebook Stock Fails to Rally as Lockup Ends
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Facebook stock (Nasdaq: FB) fell more than 5% Friday as some 156 million shares held by early insiders and employees were freed from a lockup period.
It marked the fourth time a torrent of the social networking giant’s shares were let loose for trading since the company’s hugely hyped initial public offering (IPO) on May 18 at $38 a share.
The reaction to the sizable release of shares has been mixed.
Facebook stock fell to $28.61 Friday and ticked lower in afterhours trading. Option activity was also bearish, with puts still exceeding bullish calls over the next three months.
The fall reversed the surprising upward trend enjoyed amid the third and largest lockup expiration. On Nov. 14, 777 million shares, or about one-third of shares outstanding, were freed. Investors and analysts were bracing for the worst, but shares soared 12.5%.
In fact, Facebook stock gained more than 40% over the month’s time between the third and fourth lockup expiration.
During the first lockup expiration on Aug. 15, when 270 million shares were set free, “smart money” and early investors quickly dumped shares. Over the course of the third lockup expiration on Oct. 29, with 234 million shares unleashed, shares slid 4%.
But now that four of the five lockup period expirations are over, more analysts are bullish than before.
“With improved visibility on the company’s mobile transition, the majority of the lock-up expirations now behind us, and the potential opportunity from new products, we remain positive on Facebook shares,” wrote Analyst Arvind Bhatia at Sterne Agee, who issued a “Buy” rating on Nov. 27, with a price target of $32.
Investing in Facebook Stock? Keep an Eye on Dec. 12
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Facebook stock (Nasdaq: FB) investors are getting an early holiday present.
That’s because on Dec. 12, shares of the world’s largest social networking company will be added to the Nasdaq 100 Index.
Facebook will have some very good company in the index, joining tech behemoths Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL), Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG), and Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT). It’ll rank 13th by market value ($60 billion).
Snagging a spot in the coveted index, a compilation of the 100 most valuable non-financial stocks traded on the Nasdaq, is the latest in a string of welcome news for Facebook shareholders, especially those bruised in its initial public offering fiasco on May 18.
And the news couldn’t have come at a better time for shareholders.
Here’s why.
