May 23, 2013

Silver Prices: $50 by 2013?


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Tags: $50 silver, investing in silver, price of silver, silver 2013, silver coin prices, silver price history, silver prices, Silver prices 2013, silver prices per ounce, silver stocks

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Investing in Silver: Price Rally Gets Legs


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In a week chock-full of potentially bullish news for those of us investing in silver, we weren’t disappointed. Silver prices enjoyed a solid rise this week.

Silver prices hit six-month highs Friday and headed for a 2.5% weekly rise.

Investor interest has piqued after months on the sidelines and just in the last month, silver prices jumped more than 20%.

Believe it not, its gains have outpaced gold’s rise – which hasn’t been too shabby with its own 10% increase in the same time period.

Silver ETFs have also soared during this time. The iSharesSilver Trust ETF (NYSE: SLV) is up 24.2% to $33.38, outpacing the 10.7% rise in SPDR GoldTrust ETF (NYSE: GLD), which is up to about $171.00.

But why does it seem like few people have noticed the silver bull party?

ETF Daily News wrote that silver’s “move has been gradual and steady, as opposed to a number of days withhigh movement. Over that same time period, gold has jumped by about 9.5% with about 100 times the attention from analysts and investors around the world.”

Silver’s recent volatility, which is always more so than its fellow precious metal gold, is another reason for its outperformance. The price ratio between the two precious metals since mid-August has moved about 10% in silver’s favor.

Even more interesting, since the beginning of the year, silver has outperformed gold – this is a first.

But anyone considering investing in silver could perk up to the white metal now that the U.S. Federal Reserve has given commodities more reason to shine.

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Three Reasons Silver Prices Will Rally


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With the recent volatility and lows in the gold market, many investors also have been wary of silver prices.

Silver on Friday closed down 0.4% to $28.87 per ounce. For the week, prices dropped 5.1%.

Not the prettiest picture, but for the year silver has increased more than twice the price of gold thanks to growing confidence that the global economy will dodge another recession bullet.

David Jollie, an analyst at Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals Inc., recently said to Bloomberg News, “A greater amount of confidence in the global economy generally means higher growth and that means more silver demand. If you look out beyond the end of the year, you can still see reasons to be bullish.”

Why Silver Prices Will Rally

Increased Demand: The global head of metals analytics at Thomas Reuters GFMS, Philip Klapwijk, has forecast silver sales to increase as end-users expand inventories that thinned at the end of 2011.

A large portion of silver demand – 80% – comes from fabrication, which is expected to rise about 3% to 5% this year to roughly 900 million ounces.

Also helping is China’s manufacturing expansion and an increased electronics industry demand.

Klapwijk also sees current monetary policy increasing investors’ appetite for silver and triggering a subsequent price rise.

He expects “a continuation of very loose monetary policy,” he wrote in a report earlier this year. “We also see rates likely being cut in some of the emerging-market economies such asChina, India and Brazil.”

This means current silver market lulls are great buying opportunities since the long-term outlook remains bullish.

Klapwijk toldDow Jones Newswire, “We see a range for silver north of $40 and maybe getting to a low of $28″ per troy ounce.

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