May 18, 2013

It’s Time to “Follow the Money” Into This Stock


Read the original article at Money Morning

Before moving into investment research, I spent two decades as a journalist – and once even interviewed former President Richard M. Nixon.

So it’s no surprise that one of my favorite movies of all time is the Watergate docudrama “All the President’s Men.”

And my favorite scene in that flick is the famous “parking garage” meeting, where Washington Post reporter Bob Woodward (Robert Redford) squares off against confidential source “Deep Throat” (Hal Holbrook) in an effort to gauge the depth and breadth of the Nixon administration scandal the newspaper had uncovered.

Deep Throat’s response: “Follow the money.”

That’s doggone good advice – for reporters tracking down a story and for investors seeking the very best profit plays.

With a beaten-down stock in particular, there’s nothing more heartening than en masse insider buying – or seeing that substantive investments are being made by the handful of institutional players with a proven ability for finding big winners.

It’s even better when you see that the Big Boys are making those investments in stocks the rest of Wall Street wouldn’t even think of touching.

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Read the original article at Money Morning

Stock Splits Suddenly Getting Cold Shoulder From Wall Street


Read the original article at Money Morning

Once upon a time, Wall Street loved stock splits.

Back in 1997, 102 companies in the S&P 500 did a stock split. Last year there were just 16 down from an average of 35 a year from 2004-2007.

This year there have been just four as of May with four more expected by the end of July.

So why has Wall Street turned a cold shoulder to stock splits?

It may be because strictly speaking, shareholders gain nothing from a stock split.

When a stock splits at 2-1, for instance, it simply doubles the number of shares while cutting the price in half.

So an investor who holds 50 shares of Company X at $100 a share ends up with 100 shares at $50.

Still, many investors see stock splits as a sign a company is doing well.

In addition, the more affordable price often helps attract more retail investors, and the increase in shares improves liquidity, making the stock easier to trade.

Historically, companies would consider a stock split whenever its stock price climbed over a certain level, such as $100 a share. But attitudes have changed.

“Nobody is scared of a $100 stock or a Google or Apple at $600,” Howard Silverblatt, senior analyst art S&P, told MSN Money.

But what changed Wall Street’s mind?

One explanation is that many corporate executives today see a lofty stock price as a status symbol, particularly the younger CEOs of tech companies. And some company heads point to the questionable benefits of a stock split.

“Splitting is nothing more than window dressing,” Chris Arnold, a spokesman for Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG), told Bloomberg Businessweek. Chipotle has never split its stock, which trades at about $400 share.

But some analysts think sentiment against stock splits started with the collapse of the dot-com bubble in 2000 and deepened with the 2008 financial meltdown.

“There’s a reluctance to split a stock after such a decline is still fresh in the collective memory of management,” Doug Ramsey, the Minneapolis-based director of research at Leuthold Group LLC, explained to Bloomberg. “A stock split is just an accounting mechanism, but the psychology behind it is, you’re not going to do it unless you’re confident you’re going to trade at an elevated level.”

The Consequences of Fewer Stock Splits

Given the mostly cosmetic nature of stock splits, you might think having fewer of them wouldn’t matter. But the lack of stock splits has had several consequences.

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Read the original article at Money Morning

Hot Coffee Stocks Have Gone Cold: Is a Refill Coming?


Read the original article at DailyFinance.com

Filed under: Investing, Kraft Foods, Starbucks, McDonald’s, Stock Picks, Stocks in the News, FoodJust a few months ago, coffee-related companies were as hot as a steaming cup of joe.

Buoyant coffee bean prices, a growing consumer appetite for premium …

Read the original article at DailyFinance.com